Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1
Department of Sport Management, Isf.C., Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran
2
Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Mo.C., Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran.
10.22054/qrsm.2025.85003.183
Abstract
The present study, with the aim of foresighting the future of worker sports in Iran, used a combined qualitative-quantitative approach and examined influential factors, key factors, drivers, and development scenarios in four stages. This study is applied-developmental in terms of purpose and follows the paradigm of pragmatism with inductive-deductive reasoning logic. In the first stage, through latent content analysis and in-depth interviews with 12 participants, initial coding and extraction of 19 factors affecting the development of worker sports were carried out. Then, these factors were confirmed using the Delphi technique and the opinion of 8 experts through SPSS software. In the second stage, interaction analysis with the participation of 8 experts and the use of Micmac software identified 8 key factors. In the third stage, five main drivers were extracted. In the fourth stage, the drivers were categorized and, using the Scenario Wizard software and scenario-building method, two compatible scenarios were developed for the development of workers' sports in Iran. The first scenario is based on private investment and public-private partnerships and defines sports as part of the workers' lifestyle, with an emphasis on intrinsic motivation, culture-building, comprehensive planning, and wide access to standard facilities. In contrast, the second scenario is based on government support and sustainable financial resources, in which worker sports are considered as a side activity with limited participation, flexible management, and response to environmental changes and lack of appropriate infrastructure in some industrial areas.
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